NCAA Tournament Probabilities

Rank Team Tournament 1st Round 2nd Round Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final Four Finals Champs
1 Michigan 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 50.86% 33.04%
2 Arizona 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 49.14% 31.90%
3 Connecticut 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 53.66% 19.56%
4 Illinois 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 46.34% 15.50%
5 Duke 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
6 Iowa 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
7 Purdue 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
8 Tennessee 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
9 Alabama 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
10 Arkansas 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
11 Houston 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
12 Iowa State 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
13 Michigan State 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
14 Nebraska 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
15 St. John's (NY) 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
16 Texas 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
17 Florida 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
18 Gonzaga 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
19 High Point 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
20 Kansas 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
21 Kentucky 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
22 Louisville 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
23 Miami (FL) 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
24 Saint Louis 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
25 TCU 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
26 Texas A&M 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
27 Texas Tech 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
28 UCLA 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
29 Utah State 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
30 Vanderbilt 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
31 Virginia 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
32 Virginia Commonwealth 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
33 Akron 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
34 Brigham Young 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
35 California Baptist 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
36 Clemson 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
37 Furman 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
38 Georgia 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
39 Hawaii 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
40 Hofstra 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
41 Howard 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
42 Idaho 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
43 Kennesaw State 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
44 Long Island University 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
45 McNeese State 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
46 Miami (OH) 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
47 Missouri 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
48 North Carolina 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
49 North Dakota State 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
50 Northern Iowa 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
51 Ohio State 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
52 Pennsylvania 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
53 Prairie View 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
54 Queens (NC) 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
55 Saint Mary's (CA) 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
56 Santa Clara 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
57 Siena 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
58 South Florida 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
59 Tennessee State 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
60 Troy 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
61 UCF 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
62 Villanova 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
63 Wisconsin 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
64 Wright State 100.00% 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
65 Lehigh 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
66 Maryland-Baltimore County 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
67 NC State 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
68 Southern Methodist 100.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%