NFL
AFC Playoff Probabilities
| Rank | Team | Playoffs | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th | 13th | 14th | 15th | 16th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New England Patriots | 85.94% | 21.74% | 18.16% | 12.33% | 7.36% | 11.43% | 8.55% | 6.37% | 5.00% | 3.21% | 2.44% | 1.50% | 0.97% | 0.54% | 0.25% | 0.10% | 0.05% |
| 2 | Houston Texans | 80.18% | 17.94% | 13.15% | 7.73% | 3.82% | 17.51% | 11.73% | 8.30% | 6.39% | 4.66% | 3.03% | 2.39% | 1.80% | 0.89% | 0.43% | 0.18% | 0.05% |
| 3 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 80.23% | 17.51% | 12.72% | 7.24% | 3.41% | 18.07% | 12.32% | 8.96% | 6.77% | 4.54% | 3.13% | 2.10% | 1.48% | 0.93% | 0.62% | 0.14% | 0.06% |
| 4 | Buffalo Bills | 72.85% | 11.49% | 11.42% | 8.28% | 5.58% | 14.15% | 12.21% | 9.72% | 7.80% | 6.19% | 4.27% | 3.41% | 2.47% | 1.51% | 0.90% | 0.42% | 0.18% |
| 5 | Denver Broncos | 73.92% | 11.16% | 13.12% | 17.22% | 14.03% | 4.91% | 6.69% | 6.79% | 6.92% | 5.64% | 4.54% | 3.21% | 2.64% | 1.69% | 0.98% | 0.37% | 0.09% |
| 6 | Indianapolis Colts | 54.75% | 4.97% | 5.52% | 3.68% | 2.11% | 12.92% | 13.55% | 12.00% | 10.27% | 9.30% | 7.02% | 6.60% | 5.01% | 3.41% | 2.03% | 1.20% | 0.41% |
| 7 | Baltimore Ravens | 55.95% | 4.87% | 7.29% | 11.73% | 17.59% | 3.05% | 4.85% | 6.57% | 7.00% | 7.85% | 7.83% | 6.75% | 5.53% | 4.10% | 3.02% | 1.34% | 0.63% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 47.90% | 3.35% | 5.39% | 9.48% | 14.73% | 3.28% | 4.96% | 6.71% | 7.72% | 8.87% | 8.80% | 8.01% | 6.75% | 5.21% | 3.78% | 2.05% | 0.91% |
| 9 | Los Angeles Chargers | 47.57% | 3.25% | 5.40% | 8.36% | 8.91% | 5.08% | 7.58% | 8.99% | 8.99% | 9.10% | 8.84% | 8.04% | 6.51% | 4.94% | 3.29% | 1.91% | 0.81% |
| 10 | Kansas City Chiefs | 35.85% | 1.85% | 3.71% | 5.61% | 6.39% | 3.90% | 6.03% | 8.36% | 9.49% | 9.76% | 10.41% | 9.31% | 8.90% | 6.65% | 5.16% | 2.96% | 1.51% |
| 11 | Cincinnati Bengals | 25.52% | 0.99% | 1.82% | 4.16% | 8.22% | 1.80% | 3.41% | 5.12% | 6.86% | 8.38% | 9.91% | 10.76% | 10.11% | 10.26% | 8.38% | 6.22% | 3.60% |
| 12 | Cleveland Browns | 18.75% | 0.50% | 1.29% | 2.63% | 5.96% | 1.21% | 2.82% | 4.34% | 5.50% | 7.38% | 9.21% | 10.87% | 11.75% | 11.76% | 10.55% | 8.70% | 5.53% |
| 13 | Miami Dolphins | 13.56% | 0.31% | 0.83% | 1.12% | 1.04% | 1.95% | 3.59% | 4.72% | 6.62% | 7.41% | 9.35% | 10.40% | 11.99% | 12.59% | 11.51% | 9.78% | 6.79% |
| 14 | Tennessee Titans | 2.20% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.07% | 0.07% | 0.33% | 0.73% | 0.94% | 1.41% | 2.85% | 3.66% | 5.84% | 7.90% | 11.91% | 16.29% | 21.69% | 26.25% |
| 15 | Las Vegas Raiders | 2.99% | 0.02% | 0.12% | 0.30% | 0.55% | 0.20% | 0.57% | 1.23% | 1.76% | 2.49% | 4.03% | 5.50% | 8.67% | 12.69% | 16.87% | 20.76% | 24.24% |
| 16 | New York Jets | 1.84% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.06% | 0.23% | 0.21% | 0.41% | 0.88% | 1.50% | 2.37% | 3.53% | 5.31% | 7.52% | 10.92% | 15.94% | 22.18% | 28.89% |
NFC Playoff Probabilities
| Rank | Team | Playoffs | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th | 13th | 14th | 15th | 16th |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle Seahawks | 95.60% | 47.80% | 10.77% | 3.19% | 0.78% | 22.46% | 7.37% | 3.23% | 2.01% | 0.98% | 0.55% | 0.31% | 0.24% | 0.15% | 0.12% | 0.04% | 0.00% |
| 2 | Los Angeles Rams | 85.15% | 19.91% | 6.37% | 2.10% | 0.53% | 33.10% | 15.29% | 7.85% | 4.82% | 3.67% | 2.26% | 1.45% | 1.13% | 0.69% | 0.49% | 0.21% | 0.13% |
| 3 | Detroit Lions | 65.06% | 6.55% | 16.86% | 10.49% | 4.98% | 5.71% | 10.11% | 10.36% | 8.57% | 6.79% | 5.14% | 4.55% | 3.43% | 2.60% | 1.93% | 1.17% | 0.76% |
| 4 | Philadelphia Eagles | 71.04% | 6.50% | 14.57% | 20.86% | 21.32% | 1.33% | 2.52% | 3.94% | 4.35% | 4.66% | 4.61% | 3.70% | 3.40% | 3.06% | 2.41% | 1.74% | 1.03% |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers | 55.26% | 4.96% | 2.34% | 0.83% | 0.25% | 16.55% | 17.96% | 12.37% | 10.37% | 8.38% | 6.44% | 5.70% | 4.73% | 3.47% | 2.69% | 1.92% | 1.04% |
| 6 | Chicago Bears | 43.32% | 2.95% | 8.44% | 6.08% | 3.19% | 4.21% | 8.86% | 9.59% | 9.83% | 8.81% | 8.37% | 7.17% | 6.70% | 5.44% | 4.53% | 3.58% | 2.25% |
| 7 | Green Bay Packers | 42.90% | 2.68% | 8.14% | 6.01% | 3.05% | 4.37% | 8.57% | 10.08% | 10.17% | 9.19% | 7.95% | 7.31% | 6.40% | 5.66% | 4.76% | 3.65% | 2.01% |
| 8 | Minnesota Vikings | 44.51% | 2.64% | 8.86% | 5.82% | 3.26% | 4.63% | 8.68% | 10.62% | 9.58% | 8.39% | 7.86% | 6.93% | 6.28% | 5.76% | 5.05% | 3.45% | 2.19% |
| 9 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 45.59% | 2.00% | 7.11% | 11.52% | 14.09% | 1.61% | 3.81% | 5.45% | 6.31% | 6.97% | 7.17% | 7.39% | 7.36% | 6.08% | 5.71% | 4.44% | 2.98% |
| 10 | Atlanta Falcons | 40.10% | 1.59% | 5.60% | 9.64% | 12.72% | 1.32% | 3.93% | 5.30% | 6.46% | 6.99% | 7.93% | 7.30% | 8.01% | 6.99% | 6.42% | 5.94% | 3.86% |
| 11 | Carolina Panthers | 28.71% | 0.93% | 3.51% | 6.50% | 9.22% | 0.96% | 2.75% | 4.84% | 5.33% | 6.80% | 7.82% | 8.69% | 8.69% | 9.37% | 9.23% | 8.50% | 6.86% |
| 12 | New Orleans Saints | 23.19% | 0.46% | 2.67% | 5.05% | 7.39% | 0.87% | 2.63% | 4.12% | 5.73% | 6.45% | 7.99% | 8.47% | 8.61% | 9.94% | 10.12% | 10.24% | 9.26% |
| 13 | New York Giants | 20.79% | 0.41% | 1.82% | 4.72% | 6.94% | 0.90% | 2.49% | 3.51% | 5.06% | 6.43% | 7.61% | 8.84% | 9.37% | 10.44% | 10.13% | 10.65% | 10.68% |
| 14 | Dallas Cowboys | 21.41% | 0.40% | 2.00% | 4.48% | 7.28% | 1.04% | 2.21% | 4.00% | 5.64% | 6.79% | 7.31% | 8.52% | 9.34% | 10.19% | 10.50% | 10.71% | 9.59% |
| 15 | Washington Commanders | 13.71% | 0.16% | 0.93% | 2.62% | 4.99% | 0.53% | 1.64% | 2.84% | 3.39% | 5.18% | 6.53% | 7.74% | 8.78% | 10.04% | 12.34% | 14.86% | 17.43% |
| 16 | Arizona Cardinals | 3.66% | 0.06% | 0.01% | 0.09% | 0.01% | 0.41% | 1.18% | 1.90% | 2.38% | 3.52% | 4.46% | 5.93% | 7.53% | 10.12% | 13.57% | 18.90% | 29.93% |